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The Forest Service has one called FSPro ("Fire Spread Probability") that measures the likelihood that a particular pixel on the map is going to burn.
They were using a computer model that Mark Finney helped develop, called FSPro (Fire Spread Probability), which predicts a wildfire's likely movement, based on variables like topography, weather, the types of trees in a forest and how dry they are.
Our burn probability incorporated fuel load, ignition probability, and spread probability (spatial controls to wildfire) at a particular location across a landscape.
Similar(55)
Multifractal spectra and size class distributions were found to be sensitive to spatially interactive parameters (i.e., competition, fire ignition and spread probabilities).
Flame-spread probability depends on the occupation fraction of droplets in a lattice and rapidly increases with the occupation fraction.
The flame-spread probability considering the increase in local flame-spread-limit distance is larger than that without it.
Flame-spread probability was calculated based on a percolation model with the flame-spread-limit distance of evenly-spaced n-decane droplet arrays in microgravity.
Grafström et al. (2014), for example, introduced the local pivotal method, to select well-spread probability samples, in multidimensional spaces, from larger populations.
That is, the possible GCM errors spread the probability distribution.
Simulations were run under normal and extreme weather conditions to assess the effect of weather on fire spread, burn probability, and risk to structures.
Most importantly, it captures a broad span of data types, from complete, high quality data sets through to data sets with missing data and/or values with a relatively high spread of probability distribution.
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CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com