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Split outcomes along Labour-Conservative occurred in three other wards in 2010 – Aldborough, Clayhall and Cranbrook – with the Tories taking two of the three seats in each knife-edge case (there was a Labour hold in a 2011 by election).
Proportional representation suggests split outcomes in most, if not all, of these key Republican primaries.
We split outcomes into short term (three months' follow-up or less), medium (three to less than 12 months), and long term (12 months or more).
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Perhaps we are on track for a split outcome, as we had in 2000, but this time with Democrats benefiting from the idiosyncrasies of the Electoral College.
They may be reflective of a potential split outcome between the popular vote and the Electoral College, but there are other plausible hypotheses as well.
If the national popular vote is within one or two percentage points, a split outcome is possible, but it is exceptionally unlikely otherwise.
Many people take this to mean that there is a fairly good chance of a split outcome between the Electoral College and the popular vote.
Most people take this to mean that there is a fairly good chance of a split outcome between the Electoral College and the popular vote, as we had in 2000.
A split outcome — Mr. Obama winning another term but Republicans holding control of at least one chamber of Congress — is still a strong possibility, and would not provide a clear verdict.
A split outcome allows one of the foundations to engrave its name on the granite enclosure of a bronze bust of Roosevelt, a surface the park's creators had vigorously sought to leave unmarred by the donor's name.
To regard the probability as being substantially higher than that — taking the RealClearPolitics state and national polling averages might imply a 20 percent probability of a split outcome, for instance — may be to overestimate the degree of precision in both state and national polling averages.
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