(See "Defaults Will Climb As Economy Improves").. Moodys forecasts the speculative-grade default rate to peak at 13.5% in November.
Influences from the authorities, such as fleet emission targets, and from users who take up new technologies, drive the decisions by manufacturers to invest in production capacity and R&D of new technologies, due to forecast or speculative profits.
However, other experts cast doubt on Intellect's predictions saying these kind of growth forecasts are always highly speculative.
But our team of winter weather experts and long range forecasters at the Capital Weather Gang CWGG) suggest Accuweather's forecast amounts to a speculative guess, and is about as likely to be wrong as it is to be right.
In 1925 Alexander D. Noyes, the paper's best-known business writer, wrote of the "speculative mania" gripping the public, and forecast that prices would fall.
The projections for future years are speculative, he said, and some of the group's forecasts may end up being wrong.
That uncertainty, however, is not stopping investors, with many of them seeming to be responding to earnings forecasts by buying stocks in the same speculative way they did at the end of the 1990's.
The profession has devoted a good deal of effort to investigating ways in which speculative markets work, and has concluded that they cannot be accurately forecast.
A year later he forecast the housing market would be "weak for quite some time as we unwind the speculative bubble".
If you're writing about the future and you aren't doing forecast journalism, you'll probably be writing something people will call either science fiction or speculative fiction.
Forecasting is indeed risky, because of factors like construction productivity, inflation, and the growth and bursting of speculative bubbles in both home prices and long-term interest rates.
