"But while this study was founded in the public process, it also uses sound forecasting tools, so that rather than only listening to the people who shout the loudest, we're evaluating different alternatives to find the most effective approach to managing congestion".
Thus forest modeling often helps to identify knowledge gaps, and to integrate and synthesize information from a variety of sources, to provide sound forecasting capability.
As a result, says Anthony Cordesman of the Centre for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, DC, sound forecasts are nigh-impossible: "Everyone's looking at the tsunami, no one's looking at the tide .About the insurgents, only the following is certain.
There's evidence that what matters in making a sound forecast or decision isn't so much knowledge or experience as good judgment — or, to be more precise, the way a person's mind works.
Accentuating the normal ups and downs of business is the difficulty the analysts have these days making sound forecasts.
Even if sound forecast data from statistical sources are availablel, these assumptions could be associated with deep uncertainty and possibly, the sample space Ω is not complete.
Predicting the outcome of a presidential election based on cookie recipes may sound like forecasting the stock market based on fashion trends, but not to the editor in chief of Family Circle, SUSAN UNGARO.
Before reality television became a cultural force, prescient movies from the late 1990s like "'The Truman Show" and "Edtv" sounded an Orwellian alarm, forecasting a world in which a person's entire life might be televised.
Perhaps trying to make the best of a bad situation, acting SSA commissioner Carolyn Colvin sounds overly optimistic when forecasting the impact of this shift.
That audit, which was released in December, judged Forest City's business assumptions to be broadly sound, though it forecast a lower return for the project's investors than Forest City did.
Routine ocean monitoring and forecasting based on sound science, long term and adaptive monitoring, and co-operation between nations, is the main tool for such a management.
