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This is analysis of exit polling, mind you, so there's some margin of error.
Because products inevitably have some margin of error, it also behooves consumers to understand that product metrics may not represent the whole truth and nothing but the truth.
Resource Adequacy (RA) is the metric by which utilities, or other "Load Serving Entities" (LSEs), assess whether their generating capacity can meet forecasted demand – plus some margin of error.
This does not significantly impact rankings, but it does create some margin of error.
In this case, the mechanism must allow some margin of error in consumer forecasts, as consumers are unlikely to be completely accurate all of the time.
While there is some margin of error for projected numbers, it is estimated at below 5%, not enough to change the general thesis that early stage is not experiencing the large, across-the-board declines seen at later stages.
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In addition, the projections for exposure to fine particulates measured outdoors have some small margin of error.
To try to eliminate some of the margin of error in this, we can look at when the lap time was set on a particular run of laps, and calculate the minimum amount of fuel the car must have had on board.
Those errors include discrepancies in Donald Trump's favor between the usually reliable exit polls and the votes in several swing states, beyond what some experts consider the margin of error and other anomalies.
But random variation is inherent in most polling, and some divergence beyond the margin of error is typical for this early phase of the presidential race.
The technical matter: there's some dispute here about the margin of error associated with Mr. Lichtman's formula when applied to predict the incumbent party's margin in the popular vote.
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