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While figures this week have ranged from a Conservative 6 point lead to a Labour 3 point advantage, it is not the size of a lead that is so important but the relative vote share of the two parties within individual polls.
Although many non-Bernoulli processes may occur within professional team sports, here we examine only one: whether the size of a lead L, the difference in team scores or point totals, provides information about the probability of a team winning the next event.
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"But we believe that it is a very strong lead, twice the size of any lead Senator Obama had as a candidate over then Senator Clinton".
"Then she goes in with a huge needle, like the size of a pencil lead — nothing comes out".
The 'group threat theory' predicts that an increase in the relative size of a minority leads to a rise in the threat to the native population and hence to intensified hostility.
Although spatial or range expansions also lead to an increase in the global effective size of a species, they lead to the same molecular signature as that of a purely demographic expansion if the migration rate between demes was large [ 19, 20].
Open image in new window Fig. 8 Effect of sample size on removal of a lead and b chromium ions from aqueous sample.
In particular NBA games exhibit an unusual 'restoring force' pattern, in which the probability of winning the next scoring event decreases with the size of a team's lead (a pattern first observed by [10]).
WATCH: @realDonaldTrump calls protester removed from rally "seriously overweight" https://t.co/qq3j7XuCkv https://t.co/qLAXeYHZTX Trump commented on the size of a man being led away by police after apparently reacting angrily at Trump's claim about food stamps - namely, that they should be reduced despite the limited welfare available to US citizens.
Reduction in the size of a cylindrical pore leads to one dimensional behavior.
In contrast, NFL, CFB and NHL games exhibit the opposite effect, in which the probability of winning the next scoring event appears to increase with the size of the lead - a pattern consistent with a heterogeneous distribution of team skill.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com