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Exact(10)
Because of this, where there is limited and relatively old data, the figures are adjusted based on the change in the national average of polls since the constituency poll was carried out.
The Eastleigh result took on a particularly ominous cast for the Conservatives — the party has never won a general election outright without winning Eastleigh since the constituency was established in 1955.
In Clacton, Carswell was the incumbent where he had won 53% of the vote in 2010, and in Heywood and Middleton, Labour retained a seat it has held ever since the constituency was created in 1983.
For the first time since the constituency was created in 1997, the Green Party is standing too.
You could say Heywood and Middleton are typical northern towns in a working-class heartland which has been staunchly Labour ever since the constituency was created in 1983.
Since the constituency was created in 1983, the Member of Parliament for North Thanet, covering northern Thanet and Herne Bay, has been the Conservative Roger Gale.
Similar(50)
Since 1918, the constituency has been represented by the Labour Party.
And in a way he is that guy, having been MP for the constituency since 2000.
But four of the five published polls conducted in the constituency since the 2010 election have shown Labour ahead, with an average lead of 4.6%.
Five of the six published polls conducted in the constituency since the 2010 election have shown Labour ahead by a small margin.
Given that hardliners have gained influence since the killing stopped, the constituency for real truth-telling (probing all dirty secrets) is weak.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com