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"There will be an endgame strategy next time, and we have something to trade that Democrats want: a loosening of the sequester spending cuts in return for significant entitlement reform," predicts the antitax activist Grover Norquist.
But while Fix the Debt has not advocated for a specific solution, it has pushed for a "balanced" plan, which is Washington-speak for one that includes significant entitlement cuts as well as tax increases.
"There are very conservative Republicans in the House who sit there and say, 'I would agree to a revenue increase if there was significant entitlement reform,' " Mr. Cote said.
If House Republicans don't want to vote for revenue increases and Senate Democrats don't want to vote for significant entitlement reform now, with more than a year to go until the next election, why would either faction become more amenable to compromise by this autumn?
Obama once proposed significant entitlement changes as part of a grand bargain he sought to negotiate with Boehner that would include new revenue through taxes and fees.
"The Medicaid devolution, in capping, is the most significant entitlement reform of my 60 years on this planet," Hewitt said, adding that he had just been talking with conservative economist Avik Roy.
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"Looked at from a federal budget perspective, it's troubling to make a significant new entitlement like this," said Robert Reischauer, president of the Urban Institute.
Alice Rivlin and I, a Democrat, proposed real significant healthcare entitlement reform.
But the British government has won enough exemptions to prevent significant additional entitlements.
The decision by Mr. Boehner will probably stiffen Democratic resistance to significant cuts in entitlement spending on programs like Medicare.
Ms. Pelosi, whose colleagues include many liberals who resist significant changes to entitlement spending, said: "We understand our responsibility here.
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