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The researchers say the difference between the lower short-term estimate and the more consistent long-term picture can be explained by the fact that the heat from the last decade has been absorbed into and is being stored by the world's oceans.
In order to ensure that the short-term estimate of PD variance is not influenced by the number of periods, it is first necessary to use the same number of time instants t i in each glottal cycle and not a constant step size as previously assumed so far.
For comparability, we focus on short-run estimates, defined as effect estimates based on outcomes observed up to two years after programme start.6 Where there is more than one such short-term estimate per gender-region-group combination, we choose the latest (most long-term) one.
11 Therefore, it may be reasonable to assume that the ICER presented in this study is a conservative short-term estimate.
The short-term molecular clock estimate we used (Didelot et al. 2012) is in good agreement with another short-term estimate in C. difficile (He et al. 2013), but two orders of magnitude higher than a previous long-term estimate (He et al. 2010).
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Yet even as the short-term estimates worsened, the Budget Office boosted estimates of the federal government's likely budget surplus over the next 10 years by $1 trillion, increasing the threat that Congress will relax the fiscal discipline that played such a big role in generating the economic boom of the 1990's.
Where there are more than one such short-term estimates, the latest (most long-term) one is sampled.
Our analysis covers a period of 2 years before and after the immigrant flows started; so, the estimated wage effects can be regarded as "short-term" estimates.
We also find that the latter are more realistic when forecasts are based on short-term estimates and when trend-followers and contrarians have the same ex-ante importance.
Our short-term estimates of the direct impacts of fuel treatment and wildfire on aboveground carbon in the Angora burn area show that although these fuel treatments reduced carbon emissions and mortality rates resulting from wildfire, treated stands still stored similar or less overall carbon than untreated stands immediately after fire.
Studies of primates and other mammals typically show that for females, short-term estimates of variance in reproductive success underestimate lifetime variance in reproductive success [25], [31].
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