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This is nothing short of a revolution in portfolio allocation.
What dynamic drives the sort of change in portfolio allocation identified in these data?
(1) Beliefs are reflected in portfolio allocations.
America's current-account deficit today may be driven mainly by shifts in international portfolio allocation.
That way a local economic problem will lead to a shift in the country's portfolio allocation in favor of the foreign currency, not to a contraction in the overall money supply.
More important, investors have historically shown a "home bias" in their portfolio allocation.
The study should also have the effect of shifting the optimal portfolio allocations among various foreign markets.
Any adjustment to portfolio allocation should be done in a logical and controlled way.
When the market was roaring in 1999, Mr. Biggs recommended a portfolio allocation of 65percentt equities.
Government bond prices have also been been pressured lower by a structural shift in asset allocation preferences.
A portfolio allocation that's invested 60% in global stocks and 40% in US investment grade bonds should earn about 5.3% before costs, according to my best estimate.
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