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"seems more likely" is correct and usable in written English.
You can use it when you are discussing something that appears to be more probable than something else. For example, "It seems more likely that the candidate will win the election due to their higher levels of public support."
Exact(59)
That seems more likely.
But a shoot-out seems more likely.
Unfortunately, it seems more likely to stagnate.
A hideous accident seems more likely.
The latter seems more likely.
A wake-up call seems more likely.
Wait until next season seems more likely.
But the contrary explanation seems more likely.
But the opposite seems more likely by the day.
It seems more likely that they will be tightened.
Again, individual misjudgment seems more likely than structural failure.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com