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The actual seasonality pattern might vary slightly depending on how seasonality is introduced; however, the general relationship between seasonality and the delay will hold and is worth considering when planning prevention measures.
Other than such statistical models, in recent studies, researchers have shown seasonality pattern in the malaria incidence with the help of exponentially weighted moving average models (ARIMA) [30] and the Monte-Carlo Markov chain methods [31] with newly developed Bayesian techniques of a-priori probability assignment to the risk factors.
The seasonality pattern of RVGE cases was also recorded.
The same seasonality pattern was observed in our previous study [ 13].
However, the seasonality pattern observed in the number of carcass condemnations (during both normal and emergency slaughters) was different.
For the age group 5 19, the change is in the opposite direction, from a bi-modal crude seasonality pattern to a U-shaped adjusted seasonality of mortality.
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As in the take-up analysis, the regressions also include year and quarter-times-country dummies to control for common macro-economic trends across countries as well as country-specific seasonality patterns.ϵ refers to a random error term.
The results provide new insights into the analysis of burned areas of the neotropical savannas, spatially and statistically reinforcing important aspects linked to the seasonality patterns of fire incidence in this landscape.
Wavelet analysis revealed changes of influenza seasonality patterns when a novel antigenic virus variant emerged.
Furthermore, their conclusion may not be applicable to older children or to tropical regions which have more complex influenza seasonality patterns when compared with temperate regions.
We investigated the protective efficacy of EPI-IPTi, sIPTi and sIPTc under these different seasonality patterns, using two different transmission intensities: high (EIR = 365, i.e. one infectious bite per individual per night, a similar intensity to Navrongo) and low-moderate (EIR = 10, the lower transmission intensity threshold recommended for implementation of IPTi).
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