The package puts up to one-fifth of large American banks' net profits at risk, reckon analysts, but the actual hit is likely to be far below that: banks will find new businesses, invent ways around the rules or enjoy capital relief as a result of exiting activities to compensate for any losses.
It may seem strange to yoke the élite ritual of a TED talk to a high-risk reckoning with inflamed religiosity in a war zone.
This sent the shares of Sallie Mae into a funk from which they are yet to recover.The pressure could lead to a shake-up of the business, as smaller providers conclude that the profits on offer no longer match the legislative risks, reckons Meghan Crowe of Fitch, a rating agency.
If that precedent is anything to go by, the yuan should soon become the main global reserve currency, and not merely a junior alternative to the dollar or the euro.The rewards to China of opening up fully to foreign capital trump the risks, reckons Mr Subramanian.
The simple fact is that people are poor at reckoning risk, and irresponsible media coverage skews our judgment yet further.
However, Eldridge reckons that risk aversion goes against most writers' natural instincts.
"Just as oil prices had become increasingly stable, we reckon the risk for an oil price spike is now the highest since the global crisis," Keller said.
"The return of a second Syriza-led government will concern Greece's creditors," said Mujtaba Rahman, of political risk consultancy Eurasia Group, which reckons there is a 30 per cent risk of Grexit over the next two years.
CNBC (@CNBC) ALERT: S&P 500 hits a new record http://t.co/rMp7iN8feF March 4, 2014 Further evidence that investors reckon the risk of military action in Ukraine has receded, along with the possibility of tough sanctions being imposed on Russia that might derail the global economic recovery.
Given that Jeddah is Saudi Arabia's business hub and the jump-off point for pilgrims going to nearby Mecca, MERS has the potential to hurt the economy.Although the government says it is being transparent, and has held press conferences, some Saudis reckon the risk is more serious than they are being told.
The greatest risk of homeschooling, I reckon, is that your kid won't be able to properly socialise.
