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President Bush's refusal to engage Iran diplomatically makes it even harder for American officials to deconstruct Iran's motives and increases the risk of future miscalculation on both sides.
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But there is always the risk of a miscalculation by a local commander leading to unpredictable escalation.
Rhodes's Arsenals of Folly showed such recklessness raised rather than lowered the risk of nuclear miscalculation.
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But there is a huge and growing risk of miscalculation.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com