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Recent rises in surface temperature have been pinned on rising levels of greenhouse gases, particularly carbon dioxide.
While this has resulted in some agricultural gains in recent decades, the overall impact of climate change on crop production has been negative thanks to rises in surface air temperatures, ground-level ozone and extreme weather, according to the most recent IPCC report.
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What impact will the average rise in surface temperatures in coming decades have on India?
Models simulating centuries of warming normally have the occasional decade in which no rise in surface temperatures is observed.
Just a 2-degree Celsius rise in surface temperatures will push the total losses of these three crops each year to approximately 213 million tons.
The apparent slowing of the global rise in surface temperature in the first decade of the 21st century – the so-called "hiatus" – had puzzled the scientific community.
Here, we compile new and previously published fossil-bound nitrogen isotope records from the Southern Ocean that indicate a rise in surface nitrate concentration through the Holocene.
Actually, last year President Bush noted the rise in surface temperatures and concentrations of greenhouse gases, and said that "the National Academy of Sciences indicates that the increase is due in large part to human activity".
Although the rise in surface temperature in recent decades is the most well-known consequence of the thickening blanket of greenhouse gases around the Earth, it represents just a tiny fraction of the extra heat trapped.
More heat was stored in the oceans and other factors also acted to temporarily slow the rise in surface temperatures, but as long as we keep pumping carbon pollution into the atmosphere, the long-term global warming trend will continue.
Whatever the case, the effect of the potential rise in surface temperature would be to speed up the hydrologic cycle and probably the rate of chemical weathering of continental rocks.
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CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com