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We also note that the likelihood ridge levels off for larger parameter values, rather than approaching zero, such that the likelihood only depends on the λ / μ ratio and not on the individual parameters.
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Within a weak steering environment between a mid-level ridge over northern Mexico and a mid-level ridge over the northern Caribbean Sea, Nate drifted slowly southwestward initially.
Mr. Ridge said threat levels would be set on the basis of information suggesting new attacks.
Under the influence of a mid-level ridge over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and an upper-level ridge over the southwestern United States, the newly upgraded Erick tracked west-northwest parallel to the coastline of Mexico.
A mid-level ridge near Cape Verde and a mid to upper-level low pressure northeast of the Leeward Islands forced the depression to move north-northwestward at roughly 17 mph.
Vera drifted northward until an upper level ridge forced the storm to the east, providing upper level outflow for Vera to strengthen to a typhoon on August 20.
The depression traveled northward along the periphery of a mid-level ridge over Mexico and an unusually strong mid to upper-level trough situated over the Baja California Peninsula.
Moving westward for much of its existence to the south of a narrow subtropical ridge, an upper level high developed over the strengthening low level circulation early on June 19, which became a tropical depression that day.
Thereafter, Norman began heading northward between a mid-to upper-level low to its west and a mid-level ridge over the Gulf of Mexico.
The storm initially maintained a track toward the Mexican coastline, though a mid-level ridge turned it to the west; its closest point of approach was about 140 miles (225 km) at 1200 UTC on June 19.
Located to the south of a strong mid-level ridge, Nicole continued to the west-southwest while centered within a large upper-level low.
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