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But analysts said it was still likely that the region was already returning to growth.
Unlike the west, China is returning to growth – in fact, it never stopped.
It suffered a brief and relatively mild recession before returning to growth the following year.
"The manufacturing survey shows us returning to growth," said Mr. Gault of IHS Global Insight.
The day began with France returning to growth, with GDP up by 0.3%.
"We don't yet know if the United States is returning to growth, and they're in a sensitive sector".
In fact, the economy returning to growth provides a context that suggests Mitt Romney could win but won't automatically.
North America provided a "significant turnaround", returning to growth with organic revenue up 5.2% year on year.
Howard Archer of IHS Global Insight fears the Eurozone has a long wait before returning to growth.
Analysts are now talking about the country returning to growth this year, but we shouldn't get carried away.
The economy is returning to growth, with sharp rises in exports and industrial production (though unemployment remains high).
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