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He mentioned an academic study that showed experts in a range of fields were more susceptible to groupthink, and that other experts besides economists could be treated as more reliable guides for future trends.
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But ultimately, the commodities market is like any other, in that past performance may not be a reliable guide for the future.
This year, the bookies' favourite (often not a reliable guide) for the Nobel prize is Gene Sharp, one of the world's leading theorists of non-violence and an emeritus professor at the University of Massachusetts, (Paddy Power has him at 6-4).
As a first step, the academy report said, transportation officials must realize that climate patterns that prevailed in the past "may no longer be a reliable guide for future plans".
The most reliable guide for human inquiry, he argues, is mankind's natural propensity toward what is good and true.
More generally, it will enable analysts to explore whether or when deterministic analyses are a reliable guide for such decisions.
Here the Discourse's final provisional rule has become the first rule, reflecting the assumption that reason, in the form of judgments about good and evil, can serve as a reliable guide for action.
However, if not all action is motivated by self-interest in the narrow or strict meaning of the term, then how far can the self-preference principle be considered a reliable guide for the legislator in constructing motives?
Given the profound circulatory, cellular, and metabolic abnormalities in sepsis with multiple organ dysfunctions, several biomarkers, if integrated together, may present more objective and reliable guide for the prognosis prediction in critically ill patients with sepsis.
With climate change and sea-level rise implying that historical rates of change may not be a reliable guide for the future, enhanced visualization of the evolving coastline has the potential to improve awareness of these changing conditions.
There were significant sex differences in the measurements of fingers of adults (P < 0.001), thus illustrating that the "two-finger rule" is not a reliable guide for standardized noseband fastening.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com