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This makes (zeta ^B_i) a good indicator of model reliability and forecasting performance even during the inference phase, i.e. when targets are not available.
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The main merit of the proposed method is to repeatedly adjust model parameters with the current information including the latest observed values and model's outputs to enhance the reliability and the forecast accuracy of the proposed method.
On this basis, they developed relatively perfect seismic wave CT technology, which improved the reliability of monitoring and forecasting of rockburst.
It acknowledged better computers would improve the accuracy, reliability and relevance of forecasts on all timescales.
This was particularly the case when forecasting high flows, where the hybrid models were shown to outperform the two individual modelling approaches in terms of the accuracy of the median forecasts, as well as reliability and resolution of the forecast distributions.
An algorithm for reliability optimization, monitoring and forecast is also introduced.
These are: 1) Improve the fidelity of the climate models at the heart of the forecast systems; 2) develop better measures to define and verify forecast reliability and skill; 3) design improved ensemble prediction systems; and 4) refine product outputs to have greater utility for decision-making.
Forecast reliability and accuracy is a prerequisite for successful hydrological applications.
Forecast reliability and skill are evaluated for the period 1982 2011 using a rigorous leave-five-years-out cross validation strategy.
We examined the reliability and resolution of the forecasts by the LN-Bayes, LN-SST, and EXP models.
The Weibull distribution is widely used in reliability forecast and evaluation [13-18] [13-18]
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