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When it comes to Senate seats, in fact, each Wyoming registered voter is approximately 70 times more important than a registered voter in California.
The registered voter result, then, too, was far more accurate.
Perhaps he should think about sending every registered voter a dollar.
There is no set registered voter parameter that everyone can agree upon*.
Pew segmented potential voters into three categories: "General Public," "Registered Voter," and "Politically Engaged".
A sampling frame was developed from New York City Registered Voter Lists (RVL) obtained from the Board of Elections.
Under Utah Democratic Party rules, any registered voter can show up, no party questions asked, and fill out a ballot.
It is typical for likely voter polls to show more favorable results for Republicans than registered voter ones, and so our adjustment shifts registered voter polls toward Mr. Romney before incorporating them into our averages.
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If both registered-voter and likely-voter versions of a poll are available, I instruct the model to use the registered-voter numbers.
"And, more importantly, he's not conceding the few counties where Democrats hold the registered-voter advantage".
"Most of the prior Republican registered-voter leads," Gallup notes, "occurred in 1994 and 2002".
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com