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5, 6 In the NESARC data, when only number of previous episodes was used to predict recurrence, the model had a C statistic of 0.5897, which was similar to a model that included gender and age only (C = 0.5794).
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The differential effect of DCIS grade on type of recurrence and time to invasive recurrence supports the model suggesting that breast cancer evolves along two distinct molecular genetic pathways (Meijnen et al, 2008; Bombonati and Sgroi, 2011), particularly as we have not identified any high-grade recurrences, metastatic events or deaths from our cohort of low-grade DCIS.
Similar to the recurrence prediction, the model exhibited good calibration across the spectrum of predictions in internal validation but exhibited some optimism in external validation (data not shown).
With regard to disease recurrence, the EORTC model had fairly good calibration in low-risk patients (score=0).
For the recurrence model, the colonies were isolated and dissociated from three-dimensional lrECM to make single cells using 0.05% trypsin-EDTA, and expanded on two-dimensional plastic on Day 15.
In each cycle of the model, recurrence risk for each simulated patient is evaluated based on the Recurrence Score category (low, intermediate or high, as reported by Paik et al, 2006; Figure 1).
There are several additional prognostic models with various number of genes derived from microarray gene expression data including the intrinsic subtype model [ 9- 11], the wound response model [ 12], the recurrence score model [ 13] and the two-gene-ratio model [ 14].
Focusing on late-interseismic and coseismic subsidence in NE Japan, Sagiya (2015) proposed a two-fault system with different recurrence intervals, based on the model of Matsu'ura and Sato (1989).
(Here the RFS estimate treats deaths without prior recurrence as censored, because the model is intended to infer the relationship between underlying tumour biology and clinical tumour behaviour).
For the local recurrence model, death and distant recurrences are censored, and for the distant recurrence model, death is treated as a censored observation and local recurrence is ignored.
Death and distant recurrences are treated as competing events for the local recurrence model, and death is treated similarly for the distant recurrence model.
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