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It is important for disaster preparedness to realize that rarely seen climate surprises have a probability of occurrence, although their infrequent appearance means that they are seldom if ever given serious consideration.
In applications a probability model is rarely known exactly and must be constructed from a combination of theoretical analysis and experimental data.
Also, there was rarely a clear differentiation between classification or probability estimation and association as described above.
It is very difficult to set-up a probability distribution of a random variable in the classical sense (objective probability) when a particular event rarely occurred or even it has an incomplete development.
I'm a probability advocate.
It's a probability not a certainty.
Each solution is assigned a probability.
Woodbury, M. A. On a probability distribution.
History suggests a probability but not a certainty.
"It's not a possibility, it's a probability.
Since, in reality, the mutation rarely happened, probability of mutation is considered very low.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com