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But, is it capable of encompassing future rainfall changes?
What aspects of future rainfall changes matter for crop yields in West Africa?
The simulated increase in temperature should compensate for the negative effect caused by rainfall changes.
Climate variability in annual rainfall occurs because the aggregation of daily rainfall changes.
Observed rainfall changes varied between −3.46 and +0.76 mm yr−2.
The greening in the face of intense drought implies that Amazonian trees are resilient, at least in the short term, to big rainfall changes.
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The effect of potential rainfall change was relatively moderate and depended on the direction (increase or decrease) of rainfall change.
At these divergence points, the pattern evolution trajectories diverge according to the rainfall change rates.
Even if the global mean temperature were to remain unchanged, if the geographic patterns of temperature and rainfall change, the consequences will still be potentially severe.
However, projections of rainfall change are still highly uncertain for many regions, particularly at sub annual/seasonal scales.
Overall, annual runoff is projected to decline under most methods, but seasonal changes are more uncertain reflecting differences in the rainfall change signal for different downscaled products.
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CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com