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FiveThirtyEight's "polls-only" model put the probability of a Clinton victory at 68.5perr cent.
Intrade generally put the probability of Obama winning at somewhere between sixty and seventy per cent.
This implies that bettors put the probability that Clinton will prevail at seventy-five or eighty per cent.
On Tuesday morning, FiveThirtyEight's "polls-only" prediction model put the probability of Clinton winning the presidency at 71.4percentnt.
He put the probability of a recession — and of an accompanying bout of deflation — at 25 to 35 percent.
And the Daily Kos's model put the probability of the Democrats ending up with forty-seven seats or fewer at thirty-eight per cent.
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The Times Upshot model puts the probability at seventy-four per cent.
The Times Upshot model puts the probability at seventy-four per cent.
Eurasia Group, a consulting firm that assesses risk, now puts the probability at 70percentt.
Ordinary citizens came closest, putting the probability of 'Brexit' at 55.2percentt, closely followed by an average of polls at 55.6percentt.
Intrade now puts the probability of Romney winning at fifty-three per cent and the probability of Gingrich winning at thirty-five per cent.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com