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The effect is not just a consequence of the prior, which would tend to pull estimates toward the prior mean of 0.5, because even for true θ ≤ 0.5, the bias is downward.
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An 1884 patented pull (estimated at $20,000), which newspaper reporters in the 1880s compared to a toy steam engine, was the product of the New York engineer Charles Chinnock's two decades of experimentation.
The US also wants Russia to pull its estimated 40,000 troops away from the Ukrainian border and withdraw from Crimea, the Ukrainian region Moscow has in effect annexed.
The US also wants Russia to pull its estimated 40,000 troops away from the Ukrainian border and withdraw from Crimea, the Ukrainian region Moscow has effectively annexed.
These serve as baseline assumptions for the model parameters, and sufficient data to the contrary will pull the estimated parameters away from these assumptions.
The only part where the single mode filter is best is at the on-road to off-road transition which is due to the fact that PF has no particles locked to the on-road model pulling the estimates towards the road.
However, it is difficult to interpret the absolute differences between the chromosome covariances because our model pulls these estimates towards a common average.
It can be seen from Fig. 8 that the pull-out force estimated from the 3-D model compares very well with the average value of the pull-out force obtained from the experimental tests (Shuaib et al. 2003).
Open image in new window Fig. 8 Comparison of pull-out force estimated by 3-D model to axisymmetric and experimental results.
For estimating the divergence point location l, the fact that the estimates pull toward the true value 0.9 as heterotachy increases suggests that there is some information in the data about this parameter, however the information is weak as demonstrated by the very wide Bayesian credible intervals in Table 1.
An abnormally weak January might have pulled down estimated growth in March.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com