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And in one of his last published works, using his propensity theory of probability, he tackled the perennial problem of free will - how we may steer and make sense of a course between the tyranny of determinism on the one hand and the lottery of pure chance on the other.
Popper's view of probability, his propensity theory, differs from either of the two approaches discussed above.
To the extent that this is read as a propensity theory, it will come in for heavy criticism in the Empiricist attack on innateness.
Because propensities are to be features of external events and not, to use Hume's phrase, relations of ideas, the propensity theory and the statistical-frequency theory are sometimes grouped together as accounts of chance.
In propensity theory the probability of an individual event or item is viewed as a tendency in nature, so that the frequencies, or the proportions in a class of similar events or items, manifest as a consequence of the law of large numbers.
In this vein we have at least the frequency theory of Reichenbach (1949) and von Mises (1957) (and Carnap's own explication of probability2 was in terms of frequencies), the propensity theory of Popper (1959) and Giere (1973), as well as many more recent accounts, notably Lewis' (1994) 'Best System' account of chance (see also Loewer 2004).
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Hacking (1965) and Gillies offer long-run (though not infinitely long-run) propensity theories; Fetzer (1982, 1983) and Miller (1994) offer single-case propensity theories.
Later philosophers developed both sorts of propensity theories, single-case theories and long-run theories.
It is prima facie unclear whether single-case propensity theories obey the probability calculus or not.
Indeed, many such views will even endorse stronger principles, such as that the chances supervene on the physical properties of the trial device alone, or that the chance depends on some particular dispositional property of the chance setup (as in propensity theories).
Nicknamed "grassy knoll" in the Clinton administration over his propensity for conspiracy theories, Blumenthal was reported blackballed from a State Department job under Clinton after two top Obama aides, including David Axelrod, threatened to resign.
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