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It includes projections for changes in local, state and regional climate conditions across the United States and estimates the fiscal impact of those changes on key sectors of the economy, including agriculture, energy, coastal infrastructure, labor productivity and heat-related mortality.
The relative importance of environmental change was evaluated by comparing the impact on sediment export of land-use change, that are driven by socio-economic factors, with climate change projections for changes in the rainfall regime.
The disagreement among GCM projections for changes in rainfall makes the future of vectorial capacity in West Africa highly uncertain.
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That pace would change the projections for climate change, but it would also require a major government initiative, akin to the one that revitalized industry at the start of the Second World War.
But it is impossible to say, without running the whole exercise afresh, what the properly calculated range of projections for temperature changes would be.Mr Castles and Mr Henderson offer a variety of other criticisms of the SRES, and of the panel's treatment of economic issues more generally.
Each climate data set also includes projections for annual changes in atmospheric CO2 concentrations that are consistent with the associated emission scenarios.
For each country within South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa we estimated recent trends in SBA attendance and used these as the basis for three increasingly optimistic projections for future changes in SBA attendance.
The pH of the sediment interstitial water was 8.0, while a pH drop of 0.6 units (pH 7.4) was chosen on the basis of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Changes [ 21] maximum projections for the change in global ocean surface pH (~0.4 units) in 2100, together with possible increased acidification caused by upwelling of anthropogenic CO2-enriched water in coastal systems [ 22].
In exploring climate change as a cause of new patterns of disease, however, much can be learned from the many data-derived relationships between key climatic factors and host, parasite and disease ecology, and the integration of these with projections for climate change trajectories.
To quantify historical human effects on the global nitrogen cycle and make projections for future climate change, ESMs with an explicit nitrogen cycle can be a powerful tool.
The weak relationship between observed changes in abundance and trends in the retrodicted suitability of the climate for each species (CST), contrasts with the highly significant relationships between observed population trend and longer-term projections of change in potential range for each species (the CLIM variants).
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com