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This system – Decision Information System for Managing Urban Trees or DISMUT – facilitates the development of forest-level management programs by allowing the projection of change and work requirements that the result from historical and current plantings over the entire urban forest.
The first projection of change is generated by extrapolating the rate of country-level cropland area change from 1985 to 2000 to the 2000 to 2015 time period (the country scenario).
Hence, we propose that CLIM, a projection of change in potential range extent, can act as a proxy for changes in the suitability of the climate for a given species.
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The results may help model development and projection of changes in terrestrial C sequestration in the future.
A projection of changes in landfalling atmospheric river frequency and extreme precipitation over western North America from the large ensemble CESM simulations.
But the lead author of one of the new studies, Dr. James E. Hansen, the director of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies, says there is a difference between refining projections of change and saying global warming is not a serious problem.
However, models capable of this are not sufficiently developed, so we instead used model projections of change in range extent.
An assumption of our use of CLIM is that bioclimate variables have already changed since 1980 in the direction of the GCM projections of change between 1961 1990 and 2070 2099.
The significant positive correlation between observed changes of population and projections of change in potential geographical range derived from climatic envelope models provides support for the use of these models to derive a climatic impact indicator.
First, we test the performance of projections of change in the extent of species' geographical range (CLIM, based upon climatic envelope models) as predictors of observed interspecific variation in long-term change in population size of land bird species over a large part of Europe.
Our tests of the performance of climatic envelope models in this regard reveal that variation in population trend among European bird species is significantly correlated with model projections of change in the extent of the species' potential geographical range associated with future climatic change.
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