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Despite significant differences in projected precipitation changes to the region, projections did not differ significantly between global circulation models.
—Projected precipitation and temperature changes imply changes in floods, although overall there is low confidence at the global scale regarding climate-driven changes in magnitude or frequency of river-related flooding, due to limited evidence and because the causes of regional changes are complex.
Stations in lower elevation have higher percentage increase in projected precipitation while stations in the higher altitude have lesser or decrease in projected precipitation.
Fig. 15 Seasonal change in projected precipitation compared to baseline period.
The uncertainty in future projected precipitation changes produces uncertainty in future streamflow for the studied basins.
RCP 8.5 has highest percentage increase in projected precipitation during autumn and lowest during winter.
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As the engineering community is the primary user, the website displays intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) graphs depicting the: 1) mean projected extreme precipitation intensity, 2) range of future model projections, 3) distribution of observed extreme precipitation intensities, 4) confidence intervals about the observed values.
For RCP 4.5, projected annual precipitation is between RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5.
The evolution of the hydrological parameters is in line with the projected decreasing precipitation and increasing temperature trends.
Global models projected that, precipitation in Great Plains of the United States will decrease in summer and increase in spring and winter.
The projected annual precipitation in nine meteorological stations for three future periods, compared to the baseline period of 1976 2005 is presented in Table 6.
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