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The phrase "probably the case" is correct and usable in written English.
You can use this phrase to indicate that something is likely to be true, especially in a formal or business setting. For example, "Given the strong sales figures, it is probably the case that the new product introduction was a success."
Exact(60)
The latter is most probably the case.
I think that was probably the case.
If you look at that, that's probably the case.
And on some levels, that is probably the case.
"But I believe it's probably the case," he said.
Actually, in the end, I'm sure that was probably the case for most squatters.
It is probably the case that antidepressants both cause and prevent deaths.
The cynic in me can't help thinking that all three are probably the case.
This was probably the case in 1722, too – without too much effect.
"That is probably the case, but no more than journalists are conversant on other dangerous products," he said.
This was also probably the case with two slightly smaller canvases on loan from the Metropolitan Museum of Art.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com