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The phrase "probably happens" is correct and usable in written English.
It can be used when discussing something that is likely to occur but not certain.
Example: "In many cases, it probably happens that people overlook important details in their work."
Alternatives: "likely occurs" or "is likely to happen."
Exact(46)
Something related probably happens with drugs.
This probably happens three to five times a year.
The tryst probably happens with one of Lady Mary's suitors.
"This sort of thing probably happens a lot more than is realized," one Milton graduate says.
Something like this probably happens every decade but usually takes place over an unpopulated area.
But as Dr. Dunbar points out, what happens during one type of physical exertion probably happens in others.
Similar(13)
Will probably happen again.
So it will probably happen.
Which means that it will probably happen.
That will probably happen next week.
I'm assuming it probably happened.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com