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When futurists speak of "probable futures", they do not actually refer to accurate forecasts and probability calculations, but to the "business as usual"—which reveals us nothing new.
In experiments, the probable futures began to appear alongside the preferable futures.
Additionally, futures actually are never probable; futures are always surprising and novel.
Montreuil and Laforge (1992) addressed the SDFLP using a scenario tree of probable futures.
They also define probable futures based on facts of the past and depending on their relevance to different scenarios [12].
The students also began to perceive the negative challenges that arose with the probable futures more optimistically.
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THE PROBABLE FUTURE, by Alice Hoffman.
15 1 THE PROBABLE FUTURE, by Alice Hoffman.
Then Dilfer summed up his current predicament, and probable future, this way.
"Mr. [X] from HSBC told me also that USA and Syria are revising probable future cooperation".
The resulting ensembles of possible outcomes, when averaged, point to the most probable future.
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