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Our question was simply underspecified: the probability of what, exactly, are we asking about?
That is, the decision to accept or reject the null hypothesis depends not just on the probability of what has actually been observed according to the various hypotheses, but also on the probability assignments over events that could have been observed but were not.
I tried again--was it like a weather report, developed by comparing thousands of instances of similar conditions to predict the probability of what will happen next?
Similar(55)
But you have to be making a decision, and basing it on the probabilities of what it might do.
"If you did a probability distribution of what could happen, what we've experienced since last fall is well below a 5percentt probability," Mr. Diamond said.
In all probability, much of what we hear is not.
We therefore propose that if those two variables are tested separately from each other, it might turn out that it is not personal involvement per se, but probability of action, what produces the illusion.
The less cards in you deck, the higher your probability of getting what you need.
For if we can reason ourselves to the truth (or even the probability, or plausibility) of what is believed on faith, and such belief is a sufficient condition for salvation, then, contrary to Calvinist doctrine, faith is not necessary.
Who could possibly have missed the probability of "misinterpretation"? What kind of reaction did he expect?
What we need is objective probability not by virtue of what the subject believes (the belief's content), but objective probability by virtue of the manner in which the belief came about.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com