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For Sotalia, there was a > 0.75 probability of population increase.
If conservation efforts are to be successful, it is critical that we understand the relationship between habitat loss and the probability of population extinction.
The dispersal is determined by a kernel function, and the dispersal strategy is defined as the probability of population individuals' moving to a different habitat.
This paper explores the potential for landscape ecology research to provide useful insights into developing process targets by relating critical thresholds in habitat amount to the probability of population persistence.
Available evidence suggests a threshold amount of habitat loss at which the probability of population extinction increases from near-zero to near-one following a small additional loss of habitat.
Given that the processes driving population decline are often decoupled from those ultimately determining extinction [17], [21], we hypothesized that a different set of correlates might apply to the probability of population decline.
Inferred highest probability of population migration rates (represented as 2 Nm) between adjacent populations of S-RED and BLUE were effectively zero from S-RED to BLUE (90% highest posterior density, HPD: 0 0.34), but positive (albeit low) from BLUE into S-RED (0.29, 90% HPD: 0.05 0.61).
Increased virulence would represent another factor reducing the probability of population invasion following interspecific transfers.
Edge effects had a relatively minor influence on the probability of population extinction.
(3) What is the effect of spatial structure on the probability of population extinction?
Specifically, MI must be higher than 90% to attain a realistic probability of population replacement.
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