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The intermittent and unpredictable wind and solar power leads to the frequent transient processing of pumped-storage stations, increasing the probability of load shedding.
South Africans now check electricity reports that read like weather forecasts: "There is a medium probability of load shedding today and tomorrow, with a higher probability on Thursday and Friday," said a recent Eskom tweet.
The influence of different factors are studied such as type of probability distribution of the load, its coefficient of variation, the ratio between the magnitudes of the two loads, the probability of load occurrence and the average number of load occurrencies during a chosen reference time.
Open image in new window Fig. 4 Probability of load curtailment with different α values.
LOLP indicates the probability of load loss caused by element capacity shortage (1/year).
Simulation results have proved that our approach can give network planners an opportunity to trade-off between the overall cost and the probability of load curtailment in the presence of uncertainties.
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Observed defects leads to significant increasing of failure probability of load-bearing structures and reduction of safe exploitation period for buildings.
A statistical analysis is carried out using the Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test to deliver probability of loads experienced within a certain interval.
Contours represent the probability of loading greater that 300 kg/m2.
Contour lines represent the probability of loading equal to 300 kg/m2.
Contours represent the probability of loading greater that 300 kg/m2, for the reference scenario.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com