Thus estimates of response statistics such as crossing rates and first-passage probability, issues of which are of particular interest in reliability analysis, can be grossly inaccurate at high thresholds.
The shaded zone indicates the range of model parameters used in estimating the long-term probability issued by the ERC: (a) for the sequence proposed by Ishibashi (1994), (b) Shishikura (2003), (c) Shimazaki et al. (2011b), (d) Weighted log-likelihood.
Considering that the current probability issued to the public was estimated by including parameter values of Δl ranging down to −2.0 (Figs. 2(a d)), the probability of 0.046 for the weighted log-likelihood case would become an alternative to the current probability.
Results further suggest that the genetics of the parents is not the main factor explaining recapture probability: progeny issued from both related and not related parent pairs were found in recaptures years after their release.
We find that the probability of issuing debt increases after the issuance of hybrid instruments during the last 12 months, and the decision to issue hybrid instruments is also positively affected by the issuance of debt during the previous 12 months.
However, the probability of issuing capital is not correlated with the issuance of debt but increases with the issuances of hybrid instruments during the last three months.
A simple bootstrap resampling scheme is used to evaluate the probability of issuing a false alarm (Type I error), as well as the likelihood of not issuing an alert when the bridge is damaged (Type II error).
The effect of being a caja does not affect the probability of issuing either hybrid or capital instruments.
If banks use both hybrid and capital instruments to compensate for debt growth, we should observe that the probability of issuing both types of instruments increases right after the issuance of debt, and vice-versa.
The fact of having previously issued in financial markets, Issuer in the Past, does not seem to positively affect the probability of issuing any type of financial instrument.
