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More than 40 years ago, Sherman Kent -- the godfather of the vital National Intelligence Estimates and the man for whom the CIA's analyst school is named -- penned a classified memo attempting to describe how vague words like "probable" and "serious probability" could be translated into meaningful numbers.
In linear approaches (e.g. the Haley Knott regression), if more than one phase is probable, the marginal transmission probability could be estimated considering all of them in a weighted sum of conditional probabilities.
If the true-positive rate is significantly less than 100%, as it would be for cheaper tests, then the posterior probability could be only 1% or even less.
It is shown that MIE values which are connected with a certain ignition probability could be determined adequately and lead to a more sophisticated result, also with regard to measurement uncertainties.
The study findings indicated that suicide probability could be affected by the students' age, their problems at school, their troubled relations with friends, and a psychiatric disorder history within the last year.
While coupled ductile damage models with Beremin-like failure probability could be useful in the transition region, uncoupled models with "a posteriori" probability calculations are advantageous to the engineering community.
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Statistical probabilities could be calculated individually for each day, but the results would not provide clear guidelines.
The proposed approach has the advantage that movement execution probabilities could be changed according evaluation of the dance execution in order to have an artificial creative system.
Our objective was to illustrate how diagnostic experts' case-specific tacit knowledge about diagnostic probabilities could be garnered in the form of DPFs.
The measurements from different sensors may undergo the missing phenomena, which are characterized by a set of mutually independent Bernoulli random variables and the missing probabilities could be uncertain.
MSNs and type II branching probabilities could be accurately modelled with decreasing functions of both the metrical (exponential functions) and topological (power functions of the centrifugal branch order) distances to soma.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com