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As he writes, "The occurrence of an event increases its reconstructed probability and makes it less surprising than it would have been had the original probability been remembered".
"In this particular situation, passengers have in all probability been delayed a lot longer than they might have been and airlines have lost millions every day as a result".
As such, the more you've invested in the fantasy, the greater the potential letdown when you let go of it as the experience of seeing your ideals reflected has, in all probability, been a very intense one.
Similar(57)
The probability is ⅔ × ½ = ⅓ again.
The probability is growing.
This probability is not zero.
The percentage probability is 41 percent.
The probability is ⅓ × 1 = ⅓, a third.
The probability is one in 1,000 years.
The probability is that it is not the double-dip.
(The exact estimated probability is forty-five per cent).
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com