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If the left vote is split, Le Pen could get through to the presidential second round.
All of this could go far in staving off the inertia and drift so common in presidential second terms.
That's the way Presidential second terms usually turn out, as Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton, and George W. Bush all discovered.
In 11 days this month, seven out of 12 polls forecast her not only reaching the presidential second round but beating her father's score.
One of the most intriguing implications of last Sunday's result is that President Hollande, not Mr Sarkozy or any other centre-right candidate, might easily be Ms Le Pen's opponent in the two-candidate presidential second round in May 2017.
Even by the standards of the last two years of Presidential second terms, the Senate has confirmed a very small number of lower-court judges, including only one for the Circuit Courts.
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In it I cameoed how the year of a U.S. presidential term (first, second, third or fourth) impacts market risk.
Some presidential second-term troubles were really manifestations of first-term actions, including the Watergate burglary under Nixon, the secret arms sales to Iran under Reagan, the liaisons by Mr. Clinton and the invasion of Iraq by Mr. Bush.
Even before Mr. Strauss-Kahn's arrest, she was already seen as a real possibility to beat one of the other main parties into third place and make the presidential second-round runoff a year from now.
Mentions a number of other Presidential firsts.
Mr. Roosevelt accumulated an impressive list of presidential "firsts" over time.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com