The best way to treat this symptom of variability is to apply multiple outcome techniques to prepare for a range of plausible futures [5].
The oil giant's failure to prepare for and cope with plausible weather conditions and the resulting threats to human life and the environment make it vividly clear: Shell has no business trying to drill in the Arctic Ocean.
Rather than looking just at trends and predictions, which can't account for disruptive events, we help organizations prepare for unpredictable futures through researching plausible, internally consistent scenarios.
You can always just prepare for this by thinking of a plausible reason but it is best to just spread your comments out onto more than one happening.
That same month, the Defense Department's Office of Net Assessment drafted a report urging immediate action to prepare for the "not the most likely" but "plausible" scenario in which climate change became a problem.
"Those numbers imply a requirement to prepare for the possibility of a large-scale nuclear war with Russia, which is not a plausible scenario".
Shawn Dofagal-GoldmaNasa Nasa's Planetary Science Division and his colleagues compiled a list of plausible outcomes that could unfold in the aftermath of a close encounter, to help humanity "prepare for actual contact".
What if the elders, like everyone else, are anxiously hoarding their power, refusing to take risks, and preparing for an unpredictable future in which it's equally plausible that mullahs, militias or Kabul bureaucrats might each gain more power?
It seems plausible that Trump's allies are simply being prepared for another legislative failure.
Through the development of scenarios, organizations can think creatively about possible discontinuous future states and can prepare themselves for multiple plausible futures, not only the one they expect to happen.
Be prepared for frustration.
