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The Liberal National party won 61.7% of the two-party preferred vote against Labor in Fairfax, so in the absence of Palmer this seat should be treated as a Coalition seat.
Newspoll on Friday put the two-party preferred vote at 52-48 iNikolicic's favour.
At this election, the Liberals' primary vote fell to 41.69% behind the Labor Party's candidate George Gahan 45.29%, and he had to rely on DLP preferences to retain the seat with a reduced two party preferred vote of 52.71%.
At the 1958 election, Loxton consolidated his hold on the seat, leading on first preferences (43.67%), and ending with 54.85% of the two party preferred vote to halt Pettiona's attempted comeback.
The two-party preferred vote is a good predictor of seat share nevertheless.
The poll results were flipped this time last year, with the Coalition leading the two-party preferred vote 56%-44%-44%
Similar(20)
Metapoll's first polling average gave the Coalition 52.4% of the two-party-preferred vote.
The LNP polled 57% of the two-party-preferred vote in Queensland in 2013.
Downer said the Liberals consistently won the two-party-preferred vote but the system did not result in election victories.
One is Monday's Fairfax Ipsos poll, which showed both the Coalition's two-party-preferred vote and Turnbull's personal popularity soaring.
Sharkie has cracked the lower house – a significant milestone for the NXT – and she did it convincingly, collecting 54.97% of the two-party-preferred vote.
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