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Capstick's new paper reinforces a finding that is now well-established: that people's worldviews, political beliefs and personal values are strong predictors of whether they doubt climate change.
And he said that eighth-grade scores on the tests are reliable predictors of whether a student will graduate from high school.
My own research suggests that having savings and investment equity is one of the best predictors of whether someone's children will attend and graduate from college.
Dr. Lubinski and Dr. Benbow concluded that adolescents' interests and balance of abilities — not their sex — were the best predictors of whether they would choose an "inorganic" career like physics.
But one of the strongest predictors of whether a person votes is whether he believes that doing so is a civic duty and that belief is eroding fast.
In studies of police officers, paramedics and combat veterans, Dr. Charles Marmar, a professor and vice chairman of psychiatry at the University of California at San Francisco, has found that one of the most useful predictors of whether people developed lasting symptoms was how terrified and helpless they felt at the time, and how long they remained terrified.
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The No. 1 predictor of whether a student graduates, he says, is which college a student attends.
And direct-order merchants found that the best predictor of whether someone would buy from a given catalog was whether he had recently bought something -- anything -- by mail.
"A better predictor of whether someone is a good credit risk is his credit history," said David W. Berson, chief economist at Fannie Mae.
"The best predictor of whether we are in session after the election is the Senate race in Missouri," Representative Dick Armey of Texas, the Republican leader, said.
Although family income is a strong predictor of whether individuals give to campaigns, contributions from individuals tend to be small, around $115 on average.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com