We also considered other potential predictors of funding and assessed the association of NIH funding with estimates of future and global disease burden.
An analysis of NIH funding in 1996 found that the strongest predictor of funding, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), explained only 39% of the variance in funding.
Age, disability, and dependency were strong predictors of publicly funded HMPS receipt, while stroke, incontinence, cancer, dependency and hospitalization were associated with a higher likelihood of HHC receipt.
While declaring that he has long made use of Morningstar's products, he contended that there was no better predictor of a fund's performance over the long term than price alone — that is, its expenses.
Remarkably, 10% of projects launched receive no pledges whatsoever: apparently, the campaign's managers have no parents, friends or other loved ones they can cajole into participation.But more remarkable is that partial funding is a high predictor of full funding.
In standard multivariable analysis, DALYs was the only significant predictor of NIH funding level retained in the final model, so the analysis became univariate.
In this case, you should choose the cheap fund, he says, because "the single best predictor of a mutual fund's performance is fees," meaning that lower fees can point to better performance.
There may be a rather tenuous relationship between the initial application and the modified, often greatly improved, full proposal, and the lack of power due to only 60 studies being funded, means that we may have missed important predictors of success at the final funding board.
In contrast, a past investment style is a useful predictor of what the fund will invest in during the coming years.
