In Fig. 3a, b we show how the performance of prediction changes with changing thresholds.
But, Hill added, "it seems like, as the wind blows, my predictions change".
As Richard Brody wrote in a post earlier this week sharing his Oscar predictions, change in Hollywood is slow, but it is happening, ever so gradually.
These are areas in feature space where the compound predictions change from one class to another (e.g. from active to inactive).
Although five of the median predictions change slightly upon adjustment of suspect signs, the overall statistics are barely affected with a new RMSE of 1.083, R2 of 0.639, ρ of 0.809, 21 correct predictions, and an AAE of 0.735.
With the release of the FY 2007 NASA budget, predictions changed again, this time to a date no earlier than 2015 or 2016.
Additionally, as the storm churned in the Gulf, forecasters predicted that it would strike Houston, Texas, the location of many major oil refineries that survived Katrina, leading to additional spikes in oil prices before the predictions changed.
Here, we have to emphasize that during the grid search in the small neighborhood of the estimated λ, SPCA predictions changed very little.
The conclusions and the qualitative results are the same if a narrower selectivity curve is used, but the quantitative predictions change somewhat.
