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The data were evaluated by graphical comparisons between the model predicted and the observed median and 95% prediction interval.
Observed survival and PFS distributions were compared with the posterior predictive distributions by the models (95% prediction interval).
The predicted window k which represents the size of the prediction interval.
where T is called prediction interval.
The dark gray shows the 80% prediction interval, and light gray shows 95% prediction interval.
The width of the prediction interval is also minimized simultaneously.
Figure 1 Prediction errors versus prediction interval τ.
The results suggest that the proposed method can successfully capture the uncertainty in quantile estimates qualitatively using the prediction interval, as the number of observations falling within the constructed prediction interval is approximately maximized while the prediction interval is minimized.
Prediction intervals are described by mean value (line in the center of prediction interval), 80 % prediction interval (narrower interval), and 95%% prediction range (wider interval).
One compound which gives rise to a large prediction interval in Fig. 3 is strychnine ((hbox {logD}=0.93); prediction interval from (-1.704) to 1.498).
This paper proposed a novel method for constructing prediction interval based on a hydrological model ensemble.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com