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"Everyone is predicting a downturn in the economy".
When 2012 began, the same strategists were predicting a downturn in share prices.
This autumn, Sotheby's and Christie's held Asian art auctions in New York that brought in a combined total of $90 million, reassuring those who had been predicting a downturn in the Asian art market.
Mr. Greenspan made clear that he was not predicting a downturn in the market, emphasizing only that it would be difficult to achieve the kind of moderation he wants to see in the economy without a leveling off of stock prices.
Analysts have been predicting a downturn in 2008, with many forecasts ranging from 15.7 million to 15 million units, but a number of experts worry about even lower results.
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No president likes to predict a downturn, but Trump is being exceptionally rosy in his outlook.
The One-Year Confidence Index is the percentage of respondents giving a number strictly greater than zero for "in 1 year". Note that the question is worded to mention the possibility that the respondent could predict a downturn, and so this question will obtain more such responses than more optimistically worded questions used by some other surveys.
They used a text-analysis program to measure the tone of articles in USA Today between 2007 and 2009, and found that especially positive articles predicted a downturn in the Dow Jones Industrial Average between a week and a month later.
Many projections for those periods prematurely predicted a downturn of growth and upswing of inflation.
What's fascinating is that economists, backed by the Federal Reserve, continue to predict a downturn in the economy even as the locomotive of world growth continues to chug along without any sign of slowing down.
Odey made headlines early in 2015 predicting a global downturn so severe it would be "remembered in 100 years".
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com