FORGET the tourist-jammed Space Needle and the predictable forecast of rain.
While the negativity surrounding Albion's inevitable promotion from the Championship is all too predictable, as bookmakers forecast relegation and pundits talk about the club "sinking without a trace", such pessimism has no place at The Hawthorns where Mowbray has grand plans for the future.
Other methods may increase or decrease ensemble spread to improve forecast reliability [e.g., Gneiting et al., 2005; Hamill and Colucci, 1997; Eckel and Walters, 1998] but are not specifically designed to adjust the ensemble mean which is required to match the predictable variances in the forecasts and observations.
This is a company so predictable that its financial forecast is packaged as a "five-year road map," as if it were some sort of state planning exercise.
The convention bounce is predictable enough that our forecast will actually build in an adjustment for it, taking some points off Mr. Romney's numbers when he's basking in the convention afterglow, and the same for Mr. Obama after the Democratic convention.
Based on the results, the SRM principle is more accurate than the ERM principle for forecasting the predictable workload patterns (i.e., the periodic and the growing workloads).
In retrospect, the ingredients--unstable rope, pond below, besotted gaijin on suicide mission--forecast a predictable enough outcome.
Indeed, Scaife et al. [ 2014] point out that correlation skill is higher than would be expected from the model signal-to-noise ratio [ Kumar, 2009] implying that the predictable component in their NAO forecasts is smaller than in reality.
The letter keeps its jab at Wall Street analysts, noting that companies that try to manage their earnings to be consistent with analysts' forecasts "often accept smaller, predictable earnings rather than larger and less predictable returns".
