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"It's difficult to predict turnout because previous elections have featured contests in both political parties.
Organizers have a shaky ability to predict turnout, which is generated mainly via the social media.
And he extrapolated from that to predict turnout of 64percentt, which would be the highest since 1908, when, he said, 65.7percentt of those Americans eligible to vote did.
Hal Malchow, a direct-mail expert in Washington, says he can use technology to create "stunningly accurate" models and can use voter history, age, ethnicity and party registration to predict turnout.
Compounding the errors, Clinton's team conducted no state polls in the final three weeks of the campaign, relying instead on flawed data analytics to predict turnout and the vote.
They used that data to predict turnout.
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Election officials predicted turnout would come close to 90% in Virginia and Colorado, and 80% in Ohio and Missouri.
Some local party leaders are playing it close to the vest in predicting turnout.
Perhaps it has to do with with the challenges of finding a representative sample, predicting turnout, and picking up late shifts in voter preferences.
Interesting:Kayhan predicted turnout 38 m,General director of Fars news agency tweets according to unofficial results turnout 37 m #Iran — Golnaz Esfandiari (@GEsfandiari) 14 Jun 13 People still in line to vote in Tehran, Irann, says reporter.
Jerry Skurnik, a Democratic political consultant, said he was predicting turnout of 100,000 to 150,000 people in the runoff election, although he added that "we're sort of semi-flying blind here — we haven't had many of these like this".
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