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"There's no way to come up with a precise probability of terrorism, because there are too many variables, but it's fortunately quite low".
Evidence theory has strong ability to handle epistemic uncertainties whose precise probability distributions cannot be obtained due to limited information.
However, the probabilistic model may be unavailable because of the lack of sufficient objective information to construct the precise probability distribution of uncertainties.
This study proposes a fuzzy-based reliability approach to evaluate basic events of system fault trees whose failure precise probability distributions of their lifetime to failures are not available.
By using the convex model approach, the bounds of the uncertain parameters are only required rather than their precise probability distributions, based on which it can be made possible to conduct the reliability analysis for many complex engineering problems with limited information.
The ALCA model is statistically sound when coping with spatially structured data, and the adoption of the ALCA model in future landscape transition simulations may provide more precise probability maps on landscape transition, better model performance and more reasonable mechanisms that are responsible for landscape changes.
Similar(36)
One of the longest chapters in the American Contract Bridge League's "Encyclopedia of Bridge" lists precise probabilities for alternative approaches to playing hundreds of specific combinations of cards.
That is because, for complicated theoretical reasons that have to do with the nature of the strong nuclear force, calculating the precise probabilities for different types of D-meson decays is riddled with difficulty.
He taught us something important about classically valid arguments as well: that they are, in a special sense to be made precise, probability-preserving.
The narrow uncertainty band represents more precise probabilities.
Let's imagine now that you have precise probabilities and that you suspend judgement about $X$.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com