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Interestingly, the situation changes when noise power uncertainty appears.
In the literature, some studies have addressed wind power uncertainty.
In Figure 8, we show the AUC plots to analyze the effects of noise power uncertainty.
The influence of wind power uncertainty on reserve supporting is formulated by the sensitivity factor.
In Esteban (2012), wind power uncertainty and its effects on power system adequacy are discussed.
Step 6 Obtain wind power uncertainty scenarios by adding the given point forecasts and simulated errors.
Suppose the upward and downward reserves providing for the wind power uncertainty are 0.2 p.u.
The results show a robust behavior for the detection schemes against the noise power uncertainty.
The 3PEM based POPF calculation was adopted to address wind power uncertainty.
Practical challenges such as noise power uncertainty are discussed and possible solutions are provided.
A robust optimization approach for optimal microgrid management considering wind power uncertainty is presented in [14], in which a time-series based autoregressive integrated moving average model is used to characterize the wind power uncertainty through interval forecasting.
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